Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001173 0.001317 0.001463 0.001620 0.001785 0.001951 0.002131
2025-05-11 0.000963 0.001178 0.001401 0.001649 0.001915 0.002191 0.002496
2025-05-18 0.000718 0.000972 0.001246 0.001561 0.001906 0.002271 0.002682
2025-05-25 0.000553 0.000833 0.001148 0.001520 0.001937 0.002386 0.002898
2025-06-01 0.000424 0.000720 0.001067 0.001488 0.001970 0.002495 0.003101
2025-06-08 0.000335 0.000643 0.001019 0.001486 0.002030 0.002630 0.003330
2025-06-15 0.000286 0.000611 0.001020 0.001538 0.002148 0.002827 0.003623
2025-06-22 0.000224 0.000551 0.000982 0.001538 0.002204 0.002950 0.003832
2025-06-29 0.000174 0.000501 0.000950 0.001543 0.002261 0.003073 0.004037
2025-07-06 0.000142 0.000473 0.000945 0.001578 0.002351 0.003232 0.004282
2025-07-13 0.000101 0.000422 0.000904 0.001564 0.002382 0.003320 0.004446
2025-07-20 0.000065 0.000369 0.000856 0.001540 0.002398 0.003389 0.004585
2025-07-27 0.000049 0.000356 0.000868 0.001600 0.002524 0.003597 0.004895
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000327 0.000857 0.001628 0.002612 0.003761 0.005158
2025-08-10 0.000004 0.000247 0.000760 0.001539 0.002553 0.003753 0.005220
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000197 0.000702 0.001498 0.002552 0.003810 0.005358
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000155 0.000652 0.001466 0.002560 0.003876 0.005504
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000129 0.000626 0.001464 0.002605 0.003986 0.005701
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000123 0.000636 0.001515 0.002718 0.004177 0.005992
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000102 0.000613 0.001516 0.002764 0.004286 0.006186
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000084 0.000594 0.001521 0.002814 0.004400 0.006385
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000076 0.000595 0.001555 0.002904 0.004561 0.006639
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000057 0.000566 0.001542 0.002928 0.004642 0.006798